Autumn forecast 2024: Between late summer and the first snow in BW

Autumn forecast 2024: Between late summer and the first snow in BW

In Baden-Württemberg, people are currently experiencing unusually warm weather, which would rather link many to summer. During the day, the thermometer climbs to over 30 degrees, and the nights also remain pleasantly warm. Experts refer to this phase as a continuation of the late summer, while the meteorological autumn is imminent. The latest weather forecasts promise an exciting season with a weather that ranges from sunshine to rain to the first snowfalls.

Stuttgart is the scene of this weather conditions, in which the different elements of autumn can already be felt. Alexander König, a meteorologist from Wetter.com, emphasizes that autumn usually presents any kind of weather that exists in the course of the year. While the warmth from the south of Europe is currently shaping the weather, cold nights are also a possible result of seasonal change. König explains that the first frost may not be long in coming, and emphasizes that the nights are now getting longer - a sign that the weather could change soon.

autumnal weather prospects: from heat to frost

Current forecasts indicate that despite the great heat, there is no early winter onset. According to the Climate Forecast System of the American Weather Service GFS, a temperature deviation of 0.5 to 1 degree is predicted above the average for September and October. In November, the deviation could even be 1 to 2 degrees. The European weather model also signals a high probability for a continued warm season. "So the golden autumn is not excluded, but everything depends on the further developments in the atmosphere," said König.

But the weather forecasts are not only shaped by heat. The high water temperatures in the seas play a crucial role. König explains that the warm waters evaporate a lot of water, which can lead to intensive rainfall, even if the sun shines frequently. "This means that we could experience a lot of precipitation in short periods of time," he explains. This combination of warmth and possible heavy rainfall that could intensify in autumn brings challenges because clear, long -term forecasts have so far been difficult to derive.

expectations for autumn in Baden-Württemberg

Although there is a prospect of a pleasant autumn weather, the weather remains an unstable factor. The restrictions on the weather forecast are due to the dynamic changes in the atmosphere. In the coming weeks there could be colder or drier phases that will influence the overall picture of autumn. The current conditions indicate that the Badeners and Württembergers should adapt to a varied season that may be characterized by surprises.

In this exciting weather game, it remains to be seen whether the forecasts come true and how autumn will actually color the beautiful Baden-Württemberg. The heat experienced in September could quickly change to typical autumn temperatures, and the anticipation for the first colorful leaves paired with the typical "golden autumn" is great.