Bitcoin increases by 12%, reflects gold, while the trade war and afraid of recession increase

• Bitcoin rose by 12% in the two weeks until April 22nd and thus showed resilience in view of the US China tariffs.
• observer notice that Bitcoin decouples from shares and behaves more like gold (safe system).
• The US plans for a strategic Bitcoin reserve could strengthen the status as asset (CEO of nansen).

Bitcoin has shown remarkable strength in the past few weeks and seems to ignore the increasing trade conflicts between the United States and China, which worry the wider financial markets.

This resilience, which is characterized by a significant increase in price, fueled the observations that cryptocurrency increasingly works like a traditional safe port, similar to gold, instead of reflecting volatility, which can often be seen in technology -oriented indices such as the Nasdaq.

Divergence in the middle of trading turbulence

In the two weeks until April 22nd, Bitcoin recorded a solid price increase of 12%.

This upward movement took place, even though the trade dispute tightened, since the USA imposed tariffs of up to 125% in China, which was answered by Beijing with counter -steps.

While many other assets are sensitive to global trade disorders, Bitcoin appeared relatively isolated and increases the argument for its potential role as an investment in times of geopolitical uncertainty.

Alex Svanevik, CEO of the crypto-intelligence company Nansen, emphasized this trend and noticed bitcoins apparent “decoupling” from the traditional stock markets.

"In contrast to old coins and important indices such as the S&P 500, Bitcoin has remained relatively stable despite the global trade conflicts," Svanevik noticed according to the analysis.

However, he warned that Bitcoin is resistant to certain trading problems, but still remains susceptible to wider macroeconomic headwinds, in particular the growing fears of a possible economic recession.

strengthening the narrative as a safe harbor: US reserve plans

Another level of bitcoins developing status is the concept of a potential US strategic bitcoin reserve.

plans outlined in a presidential decision indicate that the government intends to keep Bitcoin, initially consisting of assets that were confiscated in crime -related investigations.

The decision gives potential future strategies for acquiring further bitcoins, which may be financed by customs income or by re -evaluating the treasury's gold certificates in order to generate excess means and thus possibly avoid selling existing gold reserves.

svanevik believes that such “regulatory developments will play an important role in the growth of Bitcoin as a global asset”, which could potentially increase its legitimacy and attraction.

The shadows of the recession despite crypto profits

While Bitcoin is pursuing its course, the macroeconomic view remains cloudy. The worries about a potential US recession reinforce and thus act as a significant counterweight to optimistic sentiments in risk systems.

A current report by JPMorgan increased the estimated probability of a US recession in 2025 Notably from 40% to 60%.

The report underlined that the existing tariffs, in particular the high customs of 145% in China in this context, continue to be a “significant threat to global growth”.

Against this background, it is expected that the Federal Reserve will begin to loosen monetary policy, probably from September 2025 with further interest reductions that are expected until January 2026.

While a money -political loosening could boost the economy, it could also influence the demand dynamics for assets perceived as a riskier, possibly also Bitcoin, depending on how investors weigh up inflation protection against growth.

navigate an insecure path

The Trajectorie by Bitcoin seems to be increasingly shaped by a complex interaction of factors.

its resilience during the recent trade conflicts supports the narrative that it develops into a gold -like value -ups.

constant institutional interest and potential government measures such as the strategic reserve could further support this perception.

However, the impending threat of a broader economic downward movement and ongoing regulatory developments, especially in the USA, remain critical variables.

While the global economic fears remain, it is closely observed to what extent Bitcoin can maintain its attractiveness as protection against turbulence.