SPD in the survey low: AfD strong in the upper before the election!

SPD in the survey low: AfD strong in the upper before the election!

In the current political landscape of Germany, there is a clear trend: Three and a half weeks before the Bundestag election, the SPD has a disturbing decline in voting. A survey by the Opinion Research Institute YouGov, which was carried out from January 24th to January 27th, results in a loss of four percentage points for the Social Democrats, so that they would now only receive 15 percent of the votes. This could have consequences for government formation, especially since the political competition is positioned in the top positions.

The AfD, on the other hand, can see a significant increase: it wins four points and now reaches 23 percent. The Union (CDU/CSU) also shows upward trends with a point of growth to 29 percent, whereby it already achieves 30 percent or more in other surveys. In contrast, the Greens record a decline by two percentage points and come to 13 percent. Times are not going better for the FDP, it drops to 3 percent. The left can improve by one point to 5 percent and would therefore be represented again in the Bundestag. The alliance around Sahra Wagenknecht remains stable at 6 percent.

topic migration in focus

A central topic that the voters currently concerned is migration. In the current survey, 36 percent of those surveyed stated that the topic is of great importance for them, which is a significant increase compared to 23 percent in the previous week. These changes in the perception could not least be attributed to the knife attack in Aschaffenburg on January 22nd and the subsequent announcement by Friedrich Merz on tightened migration measures. Migration is now the most important concern for voters of almost all parties.

In addition, a separate study shows that the concerns of the voters, regardless of a migration background, take up similar topics. The weak German economy and inflation are at the top of the list of concerns. However, people with a migration background have additional worries, such as fear of crime. 43 percent of this group see the Middle East conflict as great concern, while this value in people without a migration background is around 35 percent.

increasing influence of migrants

The target group, which was entitled to a migration background for the Bundestag election 2021 election, is around 13 percent, according to the Federal Statistical Office, which corresponds to around 7.1 million people. This proportion is expected to continue to increase, since 2.1 million eligible voters are also added with immigrant parents. The respondents express concerns about their living situation and retirement provision, which indicates their specific living conditions.

election surveys like this reflect the current political mood, but are not to be understood as forecasts for the outcome of the election. They are always affected with uncertainties, such as a statistical fault tolerance of 1 to 3 percentage points, which must be taken into account when interpreting the results.

Developments in voting in the coming weeks will remain exciting and could have a significant impact on the Bundestag election. The political climate in Germany is currently shaped by uncertainties, while the parties are fighting for voters.

For further information on current political developments, you can report the reporting at Südkurier href = "https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/deutschland/politik/bundagenschnschen-migration-studie-studie-100.html"> mdr and dawum