China's surprising economic growth: Danger through trade conflict!
China's surprising economic growth: Danger through trade conflict!
China - China's economy is robust, despite the ongoing challenges. In the first quarter of 2025, China recorded economic growth of 5.4 % compared to the same period last year, which lies above the expectations of the analysts, which had only expected 5.2 %. However, these positive figures are in contrast to the latest developments in the US Chinese trade conflict, which escalated again in early 2025. Observations indicate that economic growth could weaken from the second quarter of 2025, while the Chinese government continues to try to promote consumption through initiatives such as an exchange program for old devices and cars. This happens against a background of weak demand, deflation pressure and an ongoing real estate crisis.
like Merkur , the Chinese government has set a growth destination of around 5 % for the whole of 2025. However, the ongoing trade conflicts with the United States increase the pressure on the already battered economy. In April 2025, the US government announced tariffs of up to 40 % to Chinese imports, a drastic increase compared to the previous tariffs of 7.5 % to 25 %. This procedure aims to reduce the trade deficit and combat as unfair perceived trading practices.
effects of the trade conflict
The new customs regulations could have a significant influence on China's economy It is estimated that GDP growth in the country could decrease by up to 1 %, while the Yuan value could also develop negatively. Companies that depend on Chinese pre -products are facing rising costs and possibly stagnating profit margins. These uncertainties lead to market volatility, which concerns investors and complicates the maintenance of stable supply chains.
The US government justifies the new measures with unfair trading practices in China, especially in the area of subsidies and market intervention. China's progress in technologies such as artificial intelligence and quantum computing are also seen as a possible threat to the US national security. The geopolitical tensions that result from this conflict demand companies and countries to reconsider their strategic positions and alliances.
Although the US economy could benefit from higher customs income at short notice, higher prices and inflation threaten, which would ultimately also burden consumers. The uncertainty about the future design of trade relationships between the two largest economies in the world remains high-stakes for everyone involved.
The developments of the trade conflict are still uncertain, and many companies and investors have to prepare for the fact that uncertain times could last. The focus on negotiations could make a return to stability, but the problems that the conflict entails are to be taken both in terms of time and economically.
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