Government formation: Union triumphs, SPD assumes responsibility!

Government formation: Union triumphs, SPD assumes responsibility!

The Bundestag election has produced a clear winner today: The Union, under the leadership of Chancellor candidate Friedrich Merz, has won the choice with 28.5 percent of the vote (+4.4 percentage points compared to 2021) and is therefore commissioned with government formation. This election was in the context of a striking migration of votes, in which the Union lost almost one million voters to the AfD. The latter achieved remarkable 20.8 percent (+10.4 percent) and thus illustrates its growing importance in the political spectrum. In contrast, the SPD suffered significant losses and came to only 16.4 percent (-9.3 percent), the worst result in the history of the federal elections.

The Greens performed 11.6 percent (-3.1 percent) for the other parties, while the left was able to reach 8.8 percent (+3.9 percent). The FDP and the BSW both failed at the five percent hurdle and did not move into parliament, with the FDP only getting 4.3 percent (-7.1 percent). The BSW missed the hurdle by only 14,000 votes with 4.972 percent. These developments have significantly changed the possibility of coalition talks. According to a YouGov survey, 44 percent of the voters want a coalition between the Union and the SPD, while 25 percent of a triple alliance from these two parties and the Greens prefer and 30 percent demand cooperation with the AfD. However, Merz categorically excluded a coalition with the AfD and it remains to be seen which way the Union will actually take.

possible coalitions and political future

The debate about the future of German politics has now been opened. Scholz from the SPD described the election results as bitter and took responsibility for the poor performance of his party. There are several coalition options in the political analyzes, with a grand coalition of the Union and SPD currently being considered likely. However, there could also be a black and green alliance, despite the critical voices from the CSU.

A black and red-green coalition would, on the other hand, require a significant compromise. Political observers could also take a look at the history to understand how the Bundestag was shaped by existing and potential coalitions. The political pressure on the Union is considerable because such an unstable political landscape will affect the next decisions. The election researchers had predicted a stable trend for the Union and the AfD in the run -up to the election, which is now reflected in the election result.

about the location in Rhineland-Palatinate

A look at the geopolitical trends also shows that Rhineland-Palatinate goes through a similar political dynamic. A coalition of the SPD, FDP and Alliance 90/The Greens is currently ruling, which, however, no longer has a majority. The political landscape in Rhineland-Palatinate is characterized by striving for stability and the need to form new coalitions. In the analysis of the possible government coalitions it can be seen that smaller parties have to strive for the five percent hurdle to legitimize their votes and to maintain influence, as the latest developments in federal politics illustrate this.

For further details on the election results and the possible coalitions see , Tagesschau and dawum .