AfD overtakes CDU: for the first time 26 percent in the latest survey!

AfD overtakes CDU: for the first time 26 percent in the latest survey!

In a recent RTL/NTV Forsa survey, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) overtook the CDU/CSU, which comes to 25 percent, for the first time. This is an increase of two percentage points compared to the survey before Easter. In the 2021 federal election, the AfD received 20.8 percent of the vote. At the time, the Union was almost eight percentage points ahead of the Afd.

However, the survey shows that only 12 percent of the AfD respondents trust to successfully master the challenges in Germany. Shocking 65 percent of the participants fear that politics would worsen if the AfD were involved in the government. However, only 20 percent believe that a government participation of the AfD would bring positive changes.

Motivations of voters

The reasons for the choice of the AfD are diverse. 22 percent of the respondents expect poor government work from the black and red coalition, while 20 percent are dissatisfied with the established parties. Another motive that gives 19 percent of voters is immigration. Despite this support, 21 percent believe that the Union is most likely to solve the country's problems. Another interesting aspect is Friedrich Merz's assessment: 53 percent believe that as a chancellor, he would not do better than Olaf Scholz. On the other hand, 42 percent of those surveyed think more positively, including 86 percent of the CDU/CSU.

regional differences and growth

The AfD lists different survey values in the individual federal states. According to further information, its average survey value in Germany is 24.8 percent. In the new federal states, including Berlin, the party even reaches 28.9 percent, while in the old federal states it is only 15.9 percent. Thuringia and Saxony show the highest values for the AfD with 35 and 36 percent.

Hamburg has the deepest survey values with only 7.5 percent. The AfD's party approval index (PZI) is currently 21.6 percent. This key figure is relevant for the political landscapes of the federal states and gives insights into the potential development of the party.

political landscape in Thuringia

The situation in Thuringia is particularly exciting because the cautulas around possible government coalitions are currently in focus. The current government coalition of the CDU, BSW and SPD has no majority, as is shown by a red frame. In theory, there are opportunities for changes in the distribution of seats, depending on whether parties exceed the five percent hurdle or not. In the past and current discussions about coalitions, the AfD and its survey results in other federal states play a crucial role, while the political actors rethink their strategies.

The surveys clearly show that the AfD could play an important role in the upcoming election campaigns and that the political landscape in Germany can have a lasting impact. While the voters are behind the established parties, the skepticism of the AfD and the political changes in the future remains. Further developments are to be seen because political dynamics can change at any time.

For detailed information on the survey values of the AfD and the political circumstances in Thuringia, we refer to the reporting of Derwesten.de , dawum.de and dawum.de .