Government start: Union loses, SPD wins - Greens on the upswing!

Government start: Union loses, SPD wins - Greens on the upswing!

Thüringen, Deutschland - On May 23, 2025, a current survey showed by the research group elections shows significant shifts in the political opinion of the German voters. Two weeks after the new federal government took office, 41 percent of those surveyed rate the government start as rather good, while 51 percent find it rather bad. The Union supporter is particularly positive: 78 percent of the CDU/CSU supporters find the beginning. 53 percent of the SPD supporters also see the government's start positively, which is a slight increase in satisfaction with government work.

In the Sunday question, the CDU/CSU reached 26 percent, which means a decline by one percentage point since the beginning of May. The AfD remains stable at 23 percent, while the SPD increases by one point to 16 percent. The Greens also increase for the first time after months and now reach 12 percent. The remaining parties show little change, with the FDP at 4 percent and the left at 10 percent. The coalition of the Union and SPD would therefore have no majority in parliament, such as Deutschland/article25615919192/UMUMBURG-UNION-GENT-GENT-GRUENE-Seit-seit-monaten-wieder-zu.hieder-zu.

survey results in detail

The survey, which was carried out between 1328 respondents between 20 and 22, also shows that 51 percent are satisfied with the previous government work by the CDU/CSU and SPD, while 32 percent are dissatisfied. The evaluation of the work of Friedrich Merz, the new chairman of the CDU, is also mixed: 47 percent assess his work as rather good, but 35 percent make a negative judgment about him. This indicates a split view within the electorate.

In another context, the political situation in the Thuringian state parliament is also illuminated. Here the current coalition of the CDU, BSW and SPD is considered fragile because it no longer has a majority of at least 88 seats. The red frame around the current coalition clearly shows that a rethink of future coalitions is necessary. The consideration of possible government coalitions is employed by dawum . These coalitions would have to bring at least 45 mandates together to remain capable of action.

comparison with previous surveys

In addition, a look at the past election surveys of the institutes show that the average deviation of the survey values ​​from the election results between 2021 and 2025 is 1.33 percentage points. dawum analyzed these deviations in order to show trends and developments in voter behavior. Interestingly, the values ​​show that the average deviation varies per party, the CDU/CSU increased by 0.7 percentage points and the Greens decreased slightly.

The political currents in Germany are faced with a challenging time. While the new federal government is faced with a wide range of opinions in the first few weeks of its term, surveys show that both approval and rejection are part of the political discourse.