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Abitur in danger: Dramatic decline in school leavers in SH!
Schleswig-Holstein will experience a drastic decline in high school graduates by 2026: G9 changeover and its effects on education and careers.
Abitur in danger: Dramatic decline in school leavers in SH!
Schools in Schleswig-Holstein are facing profound change. Starting next year, the Abitur will be abolished at most high schools, which is the result of the switch from G8 to G9. How kn online reported, this step will result in a dramatic decline in high school graduates: The Ministry of Education's forecasts speak of a decline of a whopping 80 percent in 2026 compared to the previous year. This means that the number of school leavers with a high school diploma will be reduced to almost 50 percent of all school types.
Karsten von Borstel, spokesman for the Chamber of Commerce and Industry, expresses concern about the impact on the training market. Von Borstel warns that the decline in high school graduates will be significantly felt. Around 30 percent of trainees in the chamber district currently have a (technical) university entrance qualification, but the IHK expects a decrease of around 620 training positions compared to the previous year. These are alarming figures that could affect apprenticeships in the region.
Recommendations for companies
In view of current developments, the IHK recommends that companies make quicker decisions and offer internships. In addition, school leavers with an intermediate qualification should also be given a chance. The proportion of high school graduates in the skilled trades has increased significantly in the last ten years to 18 percent; Ten years ago this value was only 10 percent. The numbers are even more impressive, particularly in some trades: for example, 76 percent of boat builders and 45 percent of carpenters have completed high school.
Universities, including the renowned Christian Albrechts University, are also worried and expect the number of applicants to decline. Prof. Markus Hundt from the CAU explains that the switch to G9 will reinforce the already established trend of declining student numbers. A moderate decline in new students is also forecast at the university of applied sciences, but Prof. Björn Christensen expects better support for the remaining students in order to meet the challenges.
The new school structure
By 2026, it is expected that 84 of 99 high schools will no longer offer the Abitur; 15 of these schools have already switched to G9. However, community schools and vocational schools will continue to offer the opportunity to take the Abitur. The forecast from the Conference of Education Ministers says that in 2026 only 5,700 school leavers with a general university entrance qualification will leave school - that corresponds to around half of the 11,300 who were still expected in 2025.
The impending changes to education are far-reaching and show how much is at stake right now. The change could not only influence young people's choice of studies and careers, but also severely affect the region's ability to train.
In conclusion, it can be said that both schools and training companies are required to proactively adapt to the new conditions. Who knows, perhaps these changes will also be seen as an opportunity to break new ground in the educational landscape.