Election trend in Saxony and Thuringia: BSW on course for double -digit values
Election trend in Saxony and Thuringia: BSW on course for double -digit values
Leipzig, the city, which is often celebrated for its lively culture and history, is now at the center of political discussions in Saxony and Thuringia. In the upcoming state elections on September 1st, the newly founded party Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) could celebrate a remarkable move into political events. According to current surveys, the BSW in Saxony can expect around 13 percent and even 18 percent in Thuringia.
The surveys carried out on behalf of «Stern» and RTL from Forsa offer exciting insights into the political balance of power. In Saxony, according to the results, the CDU could become 33 percent strongest party, closely followed by the AfD, which comes to 30 percent. This constellation could indicate a very narrow continuation of a black-green-red coalition-but only if you consider the uncertainties of the surveys.
Current survey results in detail
in Saxony it looks like the SPD and the Greens would both make the leap into the state parliament with 6 percent. What is striking, however, is the poor performance of the left, which could no longer be represented at 3 percent. The other parties would come together to 9 percent, whereby the FDP does not even reach the 3 percent mark.
Another interesting detail is the popularity of the incumbent prime ministers. In Saxony, according to surveys, Michael Kretschmer (CDU) would go into the race with 50 percent of the votes. Jörg Urban from the AfD only has 14 percent support, while Sabine Zimmermann is pushed into the background with 2 percent.
in Thuringia, Bodo Ramelow has a slightly higher consent of 42 percent from the left. Only 16 percent would choose Björn Höcke from the AfD, followed by Mario Voigt (CDU) with 10 percent and Katja Wolf from the BSW, which would be 6 percent. This data show a clear shade of the political landscape in both federal states.
However, it is important to note that surveys are always subject to uncertainties. Factors such as dwindling party bindings and ever short -term election decisions often make it difficult for opinion research institutions to record precise data. Surveys only catch the opinion at the time of the survey and are not irrefutable predictions for the election outcome.A look into the future
The upcoming state elections in Saxony and Thuringia will undoubtedly be of great interest, both for the voters and for political actors. In the dynamic situation of the political parties, the BSW could be refreshing as a new player, while the established parties have to worry about their supremacy. It remains exciting how these survey data will develop in the coming weeks and to what extent they can influence the actual elections.
A significant development in the political landscape of Germany is the changes in the election results and the influence of new parties. Historically, there have already been phases in which new political currents have established themselves and put pressure on existing parties. An example of this is the rapid rise of the Greens in the 1980s, which initially saw many as a temporary phenomenon, but permanently anchored themselves in the political system. The situation is similar with the Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht, which currently achieves remarkable values in the surveys, even if the long -term stability of these trends is still uncertain.
In the context of the upcoming state election in Saxony and Thuringia, the topic of the prime ministerial election also plays a crucial role. In both federal states, the incumbents turned out to be much more popular than their parties, which indicates that individual personalities in politics can have a significant impact on election decisions. This is also reflected in the past election practice, where popular prime ministers were often able to increase the success of their parties over several election periods.
political and social framework conditions
The election surveys not only reflect current political preferences, but also deeper social currents. In Saxony and Thuringia there is a area of tension between established parties and new movements, which is characterized by social and economic differences. The economic situation, especially after COVID-19 pandemic, has put confidence in the government and in parties. People are often frustrated with existing politics, which could attract new parties like the BSW.
The political landscape in Germany is characterized by increasing fragmentation. This is not only shown in the surveys, but also in the last elections, where many small parties were able to win parts of the electorate. The ongoing rise of the AfD in the eastern federal states is another sign that voters could be dissatisfied with traditional political options and are looking for alternatives.
Current statistics on voting favor
A look at the surveys shows that around 33 percent of the citizens entitled to vote in Saxony and 30 percent in Thuringia are currently supporting the AfD. With 13 percent in Saxony and 18 percent in Thuringia, the BSW also shows a respectable upward movement. The popularity of the prime ministers also illustrates that personality factors have a significant influence on election results. Michael Kretschmer from the CDU with 50 percent and Bodo Ramelow from the left with 42 percent could appear to the voters as stabilizing figures, which is reflected in voting.
In addition, the focus on election surveys and their interpretation offers interesting insights into the dynamics of political opinion formation. An investigation by the German Institute for Standardization (DIN) shows that the closer the election day moves, the greater the uncertainty in the survey data. Factors such as short -term election analyzes and persistent social changes are of considerable importance when it comes to predicting the election result. The fact that parties such as the left, the traditionally strong roots in these regions, are weakening in the surveys could indicate a changing voter behavior and a departure from the established political structures.
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