The 100-year-old calendar predicts snow for Kassel-myth or truth?

The 100-year-old calendar predicts snow for Kassel-myth or truth?

Current weather trends raise questions, especially given the predictions of the 100-year calendar, which predicts a snow-rich winter period for 2024. These predictions could be of particular interest to the winter sports industry, which is dependent on reliably cold and snowy conditions.

Background of the 100-year calendar

The 100-year calendar was created by Abbot Moriz Knauer in the mid-17th century, with the aim of an improved weather forecast to support agriculture. Knauer developed his forecasts based on the assumption that weather conditions are repeated in a fixed 7-year cycle in the rhythm of the seven planets known at the time. This theory led to weather forecasts for the years 1600 to 1912.

Current predictions and their relevance

For the winter of 2024, the calendar stipulates that December will initially be "very snowy", followed by "clinking cold". Although the predictions are based on a methodology unchanged for centuries, these old traditions are enjoying certain popularity in certain population groups, especially winter sports enthusiasts. Hope for white Christmas is awakened, even if the forecasts predict "little snow" from December 21st.

Problem of the weather science forecast

Despite the traditional attraction of the 100-year calendar, the forecasts are not scientifically found. Meteorologists from the German Weather Service (DWD) point out that the coincidences that sometimes match the predictions have no reliable value. Modern meteorology uses complex data analyzes and models that enable a shorter prediction for up to five days with a high level of accuracy. For this period, forecast accompanying sinks strongly and are more likely to be regarded as trends.

The meaning for the community

Especially for the winter sports community in Kassel and the surrounding area, the 100-year calendar could be a welcome hope for excellent snow conditions in the coming winter. The weather forecast plays a central role in planning events, vacation and sporting activities. While experts advise reliable meteorological data, the tradition of the 100-year calendar remains strong in public perception. The connection to nature and the seasons, which is in these predictions, appeals to many people emotionally.

FAZIT

The analysis shows that despite the unreliability of the weather forecasts of the 100-year calendar, they have a cultural importance and stimulate the imagination of many people. While science is based on hard data, the longing for a snowy winter, driven by tradition and hope, remains alive even in the modern world.