AfD and Union on the upswing - FDP continues to lose approval!

AfD and Union on the upswing - FDP continues to lose approval!

Thüringen, Deutschland - In the current Sunday trend of the opinion research institute Insa, published by the Welt Changes in the voting favor of the German parties. The AfD and the Union, consisting of CDU and CSU, each won one percentage point, which raises the Union to 26 percent and the AfD to 25 percent. In contrast, the FDP fell to 3 percent, which represents a loss of one point compared to the last survey.

The SPD remains stable at 16 percent, while the Greens unchanged 11 percent. The left can hold its double -digit value of 10 percent, while the alliance Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) remains 4 percent.

government coalitions in the Thuringian state parliament

The political landscape of Thuringia raises interesting questions about possible government coalitions. According to dawum , coalitions with at least 88 seats should be taken into account, which together reach 45 or more mandates. In this context, the current government coalition, consisting of the CDU, BSW and SPD, is under pressure because it would no longer have a majority in the current constellation. This is underlined by a red frame of the representation.

The possibility of a theoretical change in the distribution of seats is given, especially if parties overcome the 5 percent hurdle. The consideration of current and historically successful coalitions opens up the possibility of new alliances and forms of government in the Thuringian state parliament.

Bundestag coalitions and balance of power

With regard to the Bundestag, Research group elections Various scenarios of possible government coalitions that can or more than 316 mandates in parliament can reach. The survey currently shows that the existing coalition of the CDU/CSU and SPD, similar to Thuringia, has problems guaranteeing a majority because it no longer reaches the required 316 mandates.

The dynamics in the electorate signal the need for the parties to think strategically and to seek possible coalition partners. This could be particularly relevant if more parties fall under the 5 percent hurdle or move into parliament through the basic mandate clause.

Overall, the current surveys and analyzes show that the political landscape of Germany is in the flow. The upcoming elections could lead to a significant upheaval in the existing power conditions.