Lower Franconia is growing slightly: forecast shows increase until 2043!

Lower Franconia is growing slightly: forecast shows increase until 2043!

The population in Lower Franconia is robust and is developing in an exciting direction. According to a forecast by the Bavarian State Office for Statistics, the region will grow by almost 12,000 people by 2043. Lower Franconia currently has a population of just over 1.3 million, with an average age of 45.2 years. These figures are not just numbers, but also reflect the demographic changes that are broadly affecting society.

A look at the numbers provides insight into the regions that will benefit from this growth. While the Kitzingen district increases from 91,200 to 96,800 people, the city of Würzburg remains stable, while a small decline from 125,800 to 123,800 people is forecast in the Main-Spessart district. The main drivers of these changes are immigration from abroad, for example people in need of protection and migrants from other EU countries. This ensures that Lower Franconia not only ages, but also actively attracts new residents who bring a breath of fresh air to the region.

Focus on demographic change

Demographic change - one of the great social challenges of our time - not only affects Lower Franconia, but is also noticeable nationwide. According to the government of Lower Franconia, this change is characterized by a lower birth rate and an increasingly aging population. Currently, 40 out of 100 residents are at least 65 years old, and the forecast says that this number could increase to every second person in the near future.

The situation looks similar for the rest of Germany. From 84 million inhabitants in 2022, an increase to 85.2 million is expected by 2031, followed by a decline to 82.6 million by 2070. In Bavaria in particular, growth is forecast from 13.18 million to 13.74 million by 2043, which corresponds to an increase of 4.3%.

The future in sight

What does this mean specifically for regional planning and urban development? The government has already released data and analysis to help communities understand their population structures and adapt to the challenges of demographic change. The demographic mirror for Lower Franconia, for example, offers a wealth of information on the future number of residents and the age structure at the community level.

While some regions are faced with stable population numbers, others are required to think for themselves and take action. For example, a decline of 1.4% is forecast for Upper Franconia, while Swabia can boast an increase of 8.1%.

In summary: The demographic development in Lower Franconia is complex and requires joint action by those responsible on site. It takes a good hand and creative solutions to shape change and at the same time ensure the quality of life of all residents. In this sense, this forecast is a valuable guide for the coming years.