Augsburg versus Mainz: Duel of the problem children – who will break the curse?

Augsburg versus Mainz: Duel of the problem children – who will break the curse?

When the Bundesliga comes calling, expectations are high, and so are the fans' worries. A highly anticipated duel between FC Augsburg and FSV Mainz 05 is scheduled for September 20, 2025. Both teams have shown rather mixed performances so far, which makes the encounter all the more interesting.

FC Augsburg comes into this game with mixed feelings. After a promising start with a 3-1 win against the team from Freiburg, two bitter defeats against Bayern (2:3) and St. Pauli (1:2) followed. But the really worrying trend has emerged in recent weeks, as Augsburg have lost six of their last seven Bundesliga games. The question arises all the more: Can the team initiate the turnaround?

The pressure on both sides

On the other side is Mainz 05, who are still suffering from the consequences of a false start. With just one point and a modest 15th place in the table, coach Bo Henriksen has his hands full. Despite the modest record, he remains optimistic and firmly believes that the team should have gotten at least five points. “We have to become more efficient, the brakes are in front of the goal,” he says, pointing out that offensive performance can still be noticeably improved.

The duel between the coaches could be heated, as both Henriksen and Augsburg's Sandro Wagner are the only head coaches of the season to have seen two yellow cards each so far. What will be even more important is whether Henriksen manages to control his emotions better so as not to cause his team even more problems.

Shape curves and statistics

The statistics don't necessarily speak for Augsburg. With the most expected goals conceded in the league (7.23 xGA) and only one point from the last five home games, Augsburg are on the brink. In contrast, Mainz has the second best defense in the league with only three goals conceded, which indicates a solid back line. Coach Henriksen is also pleased about Paul Nebel's return after a red card suspension. Fog is considered an important factor that could make the difference in the game.

The past direct duels also give Mainz a small psychological advantage. The team was unable to lose in the last three meetings against Augsburg (one draw and two wins) and won four of six meetings in the Bundesliga against Augsburg in recent years. The betting odds suggest a close game, with a slight advantage for Mainz.

The recommendation is: A bet on “Sieg Mainz (DNB)” seems sensible, especially because of the defensive weaknesses that currently characterize Augsburg. The game could be crucial for both teams to set the right tone in what is still a long season. After all, in football it's not just the statistics that matter, but also the form and the will to assert yourself.

The Bundesliga remains exciting and we will be curious to see whether one of the two coaches breaks through their tactics and leads their team to a much-needed victory. The fans can look forward to a thrilling game!

For more information on the two teams and their current form curves, visit the article at Betting base and read more about the background Sports show.