Winter cold front approaching: Up to 30 cm of fresh snow expected in Bavaria!

Winter cold front approaching: Up to 30 cm of fresh snow expected in Bavaria!

November 3rd, 2025 will feature unexpectedly mild weather in Bavaria. Temperatures rise to up to 20 degrees, with a peak of 20.4 degrees in Garmisch-Partenkirchen. Even though these values ​​are considered warmer than average, they are not absolutely extreme. A weather expert from the German Weather Service (DWD) emphasizes that this early autumn could have an impact on the coming weather developments. But the joy about the mild day doesn't last long, because a change is already on the horizon on Sunday. Clouds are gathering and it will be rainy in the south of Bavaria. Maximum temperatures on Sunday are expected to be between 9 and 14 degrees.

However, a final flash of autumn can be felt on Saturday before a cold front from the northwest brings some heavy rain until Monday. In the Alps and the Bavarian Forest, up to 30 liters of rain per square meter is possible. In addition, fresh snow is expected at 2,000 meters in the high altitudes of the Alps. The DWD is already warning of light snowfall until Monday morning, especially at altitudes above 1,400 meters, where 20 to 30 centimeters of fresh snow could fall overnight. This weather situation in particular can be easily correlated with the DWD forecasts, which are described in detail here DWD.

A look at the coming days

What happens next? Signs may begin to improve on Monday November 5th. Sun is expected in Munich and the southern regions of Bavaria, temperatures will settle at 7 degrees in the Franconian Forest and up to 13 degrees on the lower Danube. Meteorologists are predicting undisturbed sunshine for Tuesday, November 6th. However, it will remain foggy in the regions between the Franconian Alps and the Alps. The temperatures on Tuesday vary between 10 degrees on the Danube and up to 16 degrees in Garmisch-Partenkirchen, but fog remains a constant companion on Wednesday too.

It is particularly worth mentioning that the DWD also reports stormy gusts of up to 75 km/h on the summits. This could be relevant not only for hikers and nature lovers, but also for road traffic. Especially in the lower regions, dense fog can reduce visibility, which poses some challenges for drivers. Light frost on Tuesday night could also cause the expected slippery roads.

Out of sight, out of mind: The consequences of climate change

This dynamic weather situation also casts a shadow over the future. Climate change not only increases the likelihood of extreme weather events in Bavaria, but can also be directly linked to the flood events of recent years. The insured damage from flooding at the end of May 2023 amounted to an impressive two billion euros. Due to these developments, German weather experts are carrying out studies in order to be able to more precisely assess the probability of such flood events due to climate change. Forecasts indicate that future floods could occur every 30 years, whereas previously they occurred every 40 years.

The consequences are not only economically tragic, but also have a direct impact on nature and agriculture in Bavaria. The climate crisis could further increase the intensity of such weather extremes. Special guest in this discussion is DWD meteorologist Lothar Bock, who is concerned about insufficient data to predict heavy rain events. Attribution researcher Friederike Otto also highlights the often underestimated effects of heat waves and their frequency. A circumstance that may concern us even more in the near future.

Overall, the weather report for Bavaria offers both short-term and long-term challenges that are of more than just regional interest to many. The coming days could set the tone for what we can expect from the rest of fall and winter - and beyond. So stay curious and informed!